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30-year asset class returns forecast
On an annual basis, for a range of asset classes, Schroders Ecomonics Group produces 30-year return forecastes. Schroders now published the update for 2016.
In this report Schroders outlines the methodology used, which is based on a series of building blocks and estimates of risk premia, and summarise the key conclusions from their analysis.
Schroder's key points in summary:
- Cash returns likely to be negative in the near term, owing to the deleveraging process
- Credit returns are estimated as the excess over sovereigns
- Equity return forecasts show disparity between emerging markets and developed markets, particularly Japan
- Strongest returns found in equities, particularly emerging markets and UK small caps, while cash returns are atrocious.
