23.12.2024, 10:40 Uhr
Die Aussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft haben sich nach Einschätzung von Finanzanalysten und Ökonomen im Dezember weiter eingetrübt. Das Gros der befragten Experten erwartet allerdings eine Seitwärtsentwicklung.
Schroders Global Investor Study 2016 reveals a worrying trend among investors of unrealistically high income expectations and a short-term investment approach.
The Schroders Global Investor Study 2016 paints a picture of a world in which investment expectations are stuck in a bygone era. This should be a concern for everyone involved in long-term financial planning.
Schroders Global Investor Study: investment outcomes key findings:
With interest rates around the globe stuck below 1%, achieving an annual return of 8% or 9% is a near impossibility without taking on significant levels of risk. And, with capital preservation a top priority and a worryingly short-term outlook for holding investments, achieving that level of income in the current economic climate looks unlikely.
Painful process of adjustment
Until relatively recently, there had been a sense the exceptionally loose monetary policy adopted in response to the global financial crisis was a temporary phenomenon. Sooner or later, according to the consensus, economic growth would pick up, interest rates would rise and some form of normality in the sense, at least, of a pre-crisis policy environment would return.
Eight years on though, such hopes appear increasingly forlorn. Interest rates may have been tentatively raised in the US but, with inflation still very low around the world, few countries seem in any hurry to follow the Federal Reserves lead. Indeed, Japanese and eurozone policymakers remain firmly in easing mode. If this is the new reality, then a significant number of investors have a painful process of adjustment ahead of them.
Unrealistic expectations
Schroders' findings suggest many investors expect too much in terms of investment income and do not realise how much they need to save or for how long. At the same time, with average holding periods still relatively short, the mantra that equity investing should ideally be a long-term undertaking is going largely unheeded. All this represents a challenge for investment management firms, which must attempt the awkward balancing act of readjusting investor expectations while still convincing them of the benefits of long-term saving and investment.